Canadian prime minister Carney has bet the country on Trump losing the mid-terms but I believe, or at least I hope, that he's going to lose big on this.
Unfortunately he really has bet the country because the two most obvious consequences when he loses are, first that the Canadian economy, already in recession, takes a further nosedive into depression; and, second, that western separatism gets a sufficient long term boost to significantly accelerate the break up of the country.
So what can be done? Three suggestions:
- change the allocation of votes in the house from one member, one vote, to one voter, one vote.
One voter: one Vote means that an Alberta member of parliament [MP] like Mike Lake (who won 47,947 votes in 2025) would have about 5.4 times more voting power in the house than someone like Rebecca Alty (who won with only 8,855 votes).
This will shift about 8% of Canada's voting power from central Canada to the west, force the liberals and NDP to merge, and remove the incentives for the same people who control the liberal and NDP parties to fund the Parti Quebecois.
Surprisingly enough, it seems likely that this can be accomplished by little more than a vote in the parliamentary rules committee.
- Option two is almost equally unlikely because it too requires conservatives to grow some - and pull up their big boy pants after - but the basic plan is simple: force an election, fight a pro-Trump, pro-America, pro-rights campaign while committing to one or more "hero projects" in which government uses a simple order in council to wave off the stopping power now used by Indians, lawyers, and judges to impede things like building a resource corridor from Prince Rupert through Grande Prairie, Fort MacMurray, and on to Churchill before splitting below the ring of fire with one line going to Sudbury and the other to Labrador.
Forcing an election would not be difficult: there are currently 180 loyal progressives (173 under the liberal banner); 21 PQ, about 140 nominal conservatives - and the currently exploding condo scandal around prime minister Carney that's just begging to be used against the liberals would make it easy for 25 or so of the bought to cloth their choices in rainbow clouds of integrity and commitment after voting with the conservatives to force an election.
PeePee won't, of course, have either the vision or the guts to try it - sometimes I wonder if Max Bernier really is nuts or just ahead of the game? - but former prime minister Steven Harper, at only 67, has the guts, the brains, the credibility, and the track record to get it done.
- Option three is both subtler and nastier. It calls for western Canadian political and media figures to encourage Quebec separatism - perhaps simply by offending against Quebec sensitivities or, more practically, by acting to end equalization. This works because pointing out that Quebec is de facto politically independent of Canada now, but economically dependent on Alberta monies extorted by the federal government, is widely considered reprehensible in progressive circles, correspondingly certain to be roundly denounced in Canada's major media, and therefore guaranteed to increase separatiste sentiment in Quebec.
The reasoning here is simple: remove the 78 Quebec MPs from the system, and federal power shifts dramatically to the west, to conservatives, toward economic and trade development and away from trademark liberal policies like censorship, the no-more-tankers act, DIE/WOKE/indiginie uber-rights, Anti-Americanism, and their war on resource industries to produce a lasting economic boom in a newly unified country.
Option three isn't as good as the other two, but maybe a wildly prosperous three quarters of Canada would be better than the cesspit of bad policy and stupid choices it's becoming now?
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